Football Research DeskNFL · College football

Thursday, Oct 8 · NFL Week 5 · CFB Week 6

This week

FRD’s picks, the record behind them, and what the market is doing.

FRD picks publish Friday 3:00 PM ET ·

FRD picks

Only 4 qualified this week. Passing is part of the process.

Baltimore +3.5 Baltimore @ Atlanta · Sun 8:20 ET 1u · −118 Why: Line swung 10 pts on Lamar Jackson's ankle. We take the hook past 3.
Under 40 Cleveland @ NY Jets · Sun 1:00 ET 1u · −115 Why: Rain near 90% from the 2nd quarter on. Total flat since the forecast.
UCLA +11.5 UCLA @ Oregon · Sat 3:30 ET 0.5u · −107 Why: Oregon QB Dante Moore expected out (concussion). Line has moved only 1 pt.
Under 51.5 Kansas @ Utah · Sat 10:15 ET 0.5u · −115 Why: Salt Lake forecast: wind 15-20 mph, gusts past 30, rain chance near 60%.

A play qualifies only when our number disagrees with the market. No set number each week. How we pick

New to betting? Start Here12 short lessons, about 47 min: odds, spreads, key numbers, the closing line, bankroll and playing safe.

What’s moving Real

Your desk

Latest results

Thu 8:15 ET · PrimeFinal TNF NFL
Tampa Bay +9.5 24
Dallas −9.5 16
Total 47.5
No flags

Up next Fri, Oct 9

Fri 10:15 ET · ESPN #8 CFB
Iowa State +10.5
#8BYU −10.5
Total 45.5
Spread
No flags